In a move that shocked markets on Tuesday, Donald Trump tweeted that he had removed John Bolton from the position of National Security Advisor. Oil tanked sharply, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average spiked to daily highs on the outlook for lower energy prices and brighter risk sentiment.
….I asked John for his resignation, which was given to me this morning. I thank John very much for his service. I will be naming a new National Security Advisor next week.
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 10, 2019
Dow Jones Rallies, Oil Slides as Trump Ousts Bolton
For the stock market, the removal of an aggressive hardliner in the Trump administration looks to be good news. Heading into the mid-afternoon, the Dow had recovered from a triple-digit loss to post a decline of 6.77 points or 0.03%. The DJIA was last seen at 26,828.74.
The Nasdaq and S&P 500 also recovered from session lows in the aftermath of the news, while gold plunged 0.72%.
As a notable foreign policy hawk, John Bolton long advocated for a robust approach to dealing with Iran. Bolton even went so far as to advocate for military intervention in Iran, so his removal could be interpreted as a generous concession by Trump ahead of a possible meeting with the Rouhani regime.
The oil price slid considerably following Bolton’s ouster. WTI crude last traded at $57.74 for a decline of 0.19%. Drops like this are typically affiliated with an easing of tensions, as there are currently strict restrictions on the flow of Iranian oil.
It had been a bad few days for Bolton, after Trump suffered an embarrassing cancellation of a widely criticized meeting with leaders of the Taliban. Adding to the chaos, Bolton tweeted that he had offered to resign, but the president had delayed the conversation.
I offered to resign last night and President Trump said, “Let’s talk about it tomorrow.”
— John Bolton (@AmbJohnBolton) September 10, 2019
DJIA Stocks: Chevron & Exxon Shrug Off Oil Dip
Despite the rapid sell-off in crude oil, the Dow 30’s two largest oil companies were both able to hold onto their gains on the day. Chevron posted an impressive 2.31% gain, while Exxon Mobil, was up 0.78%.
The Dow has (generally) been enjoying a risk-on rally over the last week, with positive developments in Brexit and the US-China trade war.
If the president wants to add Iran to this list, it would aid his desire for a lower oil price and provide additional stimulus for the economy, which could be very positive for the Dow Jones.
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